Graham Harman


2018 Global Market Outlook — Q4 update

September, 2018
The U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed) is settling into a quarterly tightening routine that could see the federal funds rate rise above 3%. Even so, the upside for the U.S. dollar looks limited given its expensive valuation and crowded long positions. We believe a pause in the dollar uptrend should bring respite to beleaguered emerging markets.