文章标题:投资者情绪降温,全球股市下跌

2025-11-07

Paul Eitelman, CFA

Paul Eitelman, CFA

Global Chief Investment Strategist




Find other posts with these tags:
Economic insights
Market insights

在最新的更新中,我们讨论了:

  • 全球股市下跌

  • 美国企业盈利依然强劲

  • 英格兰银行维持利率不变 


上周,投资者情绪降温,全球股市走低,但美国企业盈利依然是亮点。在最新一期的《每周市场回顾》中,罗素投资北美高级董事兼首席投资策略师Paul Eitelman对此展开了深入分析。

投资者情绪转变,全球股市承压下行

截至上周四收盘,全球股市下跌约1.5%,市场整体基调趋于谨慎。美国股市领跌,以科技股为主的纳斯达克指数上周下跌近3% 。我们认为,此次回调更多是受投资者情绪变化影响,而非基本面的改变。

尽管如此,美国的企业盈利仍是一大亮点。第三季度财报的披露仍在持续进行,标普500指数成分股公司的盈利同比增长近17%,远高于此前8%的增长预期。这一强劲势头凸显了美国大型企业的持续韧性。

美国经济数据喜忧参半

最新数据显示,美国经济状况依然喜忧参半。薪资处理公司ADP发布的私营部门就业数据显示,10月份美国就业人数在短暂收缩后恢复温和增长。由于美国政府停摆劳工部的月度就业报告将在政府重启后才会发布,因此ADP的数据显得尤为重要。另一方面,美国供应管理协会(ISM)的最新数据显示,服务业活动在上月重回扩张区间。

与此同时,再就业服务机构Challenger, Gray & Christmas的数据显示,10月份美国企业裁员公告数量创下20多年来同期新高。但各州首次申请失业救济人数却显示,整体来看,裁员活动依旧处于历史较低水平,印证了美国“低招聘、低裁员”的就业市场现状。

英格兰银行维持利率不变

上周四,英格兰银行以5比4的投票结果决定维持政策利率不变,同时表示通胀可能已触顶,并暗示最早可能在12月考虑降息。这一消息缓解了英国长期国债的压力,10年期金边债收益率已跌至2025年以来的区间下限附近——这对固定收益投资者来说是一个积极信号。


These views are subject to change at any time based upon market or other conditions and are current as of the date at the top of the page. The information, analysis, and opinions expressed herein are for general information only and are not intended to provide specific advice or recommendations for any individual or entity.

This material is not an offer, solicitation or recommendation to purchase any security.

Forecasting represents predictions of market prices and/or volume patterns utilizing varying analytical data. It is not representative of a projection of the stock market, or of any specific investment.

Nothing contained in this material is intended to constitute legal, tax, securities or investment advice, nor an opinion regarding the appropriateness of any investment. The general information contained in this publication should not be acted upon without obtaining specific legal, tax and investment advice from a licensed professional.

Diversification and strategic asset allocation do not assure a profit or guarantee against loss in declining markets.

Please remember that all investments carry some level of risk, including the potential loss of principal invested. They do not typically grow at an even rate of return and may experience negative growth. As with any type of portfolio structuring, attempting to reduce risk and increase return could, at certain times, unintentionally reduce returns.

The Russell Investments logo is a trademark and service mark of Russell Investments