Yield Spread

Monthly Values (%): September '81 - November '25
Current
+/- 1 standard deviation of US Government Yield Spread (10 yr. - 3 mo.) figures fall into this range.
-2-10.012345'81'85'90'95'00'05'10'15'20'25.79Sep '811.30Oct '812.35Nov '812.44Dec '811.06Jan '821.03Feb '82.19Mar '82.72Apr '821.74May '821.08Jun '823.11Jul '824.09Aug '823.85Sep '822.54Oct '822.23Nov '822.16Dec '822.44Jan '832.06Feb '831.66Mar '831.89Apr '831.84May '831.81Jun '832.17Jul '832.34Aug '832.40Sep '832.91Oct '832.39Nov '832.49Dec '832.41Jan '842.55Feb '842.44Mar '842.72Apr '843.78May '843.53Jun '842.08Jul '841.73Aug '841.84Sep '842.44Oct '842.84Nov '843.43Dec '842.84Jan '853.10Feb '853.18Mar '853.29Apr '852.90May '853.20Jun '853.05Jul '852.90Aug '853.04Sep '852.59Oct '852.20Nov '851.72Dec '851.89Jan '86.89Feb '86.86Mar '861.10Apr '861.56May '861.22Jun '861.38Jul '861.64Aug '862.11Sep '862.00Oct '861.61Nov '861.40Dec '861.42Jan '871.59Feb '871.72Mar '872.51Apr '872.62May '872.47Jun '872.39Jul '872.55Aug '872.80Sep '873.43Oct '873.57Nov '872.97Dec '872.44Jan '882.36Feb '882.70Mar '882.71Apr '882.53May '882.05Jun '881.94Jul '881.71Aug '881.38Sep '881.03Oct '88.96Nov '88.77Dec '88.32Jan '89.29Feb '89.07Mar '89.31Apr '89-.32May '89-.16Jun '89-.22Jul '89.10Aug '89.13Sep '89-.12Oct '89.00Nov '89.13Dec '89.43Jan '90.47Feb '90.58Mar '90.97Apr '90.59May '90.43Jun '90.62Jul '901.23Aug '901.45Sep '901.31Oct '901.02Nov '901.45Dec '901.66Jan '911.80Feb '912.09Mar '912.34Apr '912.35May '912.53Jun '912.50Jul '912.33Aug '912.21Sep '912.51Oct '912.91Nov '912.75Dec '913.37Jan '923.24Feb '923.39Mar '923.82Apr '923.54May '923.49Jun '923.47Jul '923.39Aug '923.62Sep '923.77Oct '923.57Nov '923.55Dec '923.43Jan '933.02Feb '933.08Mar '933.08Apr '933.03May '932.70Jun '932.73Jul '932.37Aug '932.42Sep '932.33Oct '932.62Nov '932.76Dec '932.65Jan '942.68Feb '943.21Mar '943.09Apr '942.86May '943.08Jun '942.73Jul '942.51Aug '942.82Sep '942.61Oct '942.19Nov '942.16Dec '941.60Jan '951.28Feb '951.32Mar '951.20Apr '95.49May '95.61Jun '95.85Jul '95.83Aug '95.77Sep '95.55Oct '95.28Nov '95.48Dec '95.55Jan '961.11Feb '961.21Mar '961.52Apr '961.67May '961.55Jun '961.48Jul '961.67Aug '961.58Sep '961.20Oct '96.93Nov '961.22Dec '961.38Jan '971.34Feb '971.57Mar '971.44Apr '971.71May '971.26Jun '97.77Jul '971.10Aug '971.06Sep '97.63Oct '97.64Nov '97.39Dec '97.34Jan '98.30Feb '98.51Mar '98.68Apr '98.53May '98.34Jun '98.40Jul '98.09Aug '98.07Sep '98.31Oct '98.17Nov '98.17Dec '98.18Jan '99.63Feb '99.76Mar '99.81Apr '99.98May '991.03Jun '991.17Jul '991.00Aug '991.02Sep '99.90Oct '99.88Nov '991.12Dec '99.92Jan '00.64Feb '00.15Mar '00.41Apr '00.66May '00.15Jun '00-.23Jul '00-.58Aug '00-.43Sep '00-.61Oct '00-.73Nov '00-.77Dec '00.20Jan '01.07Feb '01.63Mar '011.40Apr '011.80May '011.77Jun '011.53Jul '011.48Aug '012.20Sep '012.25Oct '013.00Nov '013.33Dec '013.31Jan '023.09Feb '023.56Mar '023.34Apr '023.34May '023.16Jun '022.80Jul '022.45Aug '022.06Sep '022.49Oct '023.00Nov '022.61Dec '022.82Jan '032.51Feb '032.69Mar '032.76Apr '032.26May '032.64Jun '033.53Jul '033.47Aug '033.01Sep '033.37Oct '033.41Nov '033.32Dec '033.24Jan '043.03Feb '042.91Mar '043.55Apr '043.58May '043.29Jun '043.05Jul '042.54Aug '042.43Sep '042.14Oct '042.13Nov '042.02Dec '041.63Jan '051.60Feb '051.71Mar '051.31Apr '051.01May '05.81Jun '05.86Jul '05.50Aug '05.79Sep '05.59Oct '05.54Nov '05.31Dec '05.06Jan '06-.07Feb '06.23Mar '06.30Apr '06.26May '06.14Jun '06-.11Jul '06-.31Aug '06-.25Sep '06-.47Oct '06-.57Nov '06-.31Dec '06-.29Jan '07-.60Feb '07-.39Mar '07-.28Apr '07.17May '07.21Jun '07-.18Jul '07.53Aug '07.77Sep '07.54Oct '07.82Nov '07.68Dec '071.71Jan '081.68Feb '082.07Mar '082.34Apr '082.17May '082.09Jun '082.31Jul '082.11Aug '082.93Sep '083.55Oct '082.92Nov '082.14Dec '082.63Jan '092.76Feb '092.50Mar '093.02Apr '093.33May '093.34Jun '093.34Jul '093.25Aug '093.17Sep '093.36Oct '093.15Nov '093.79Dec '093.55Jan '103.48Feb '103.68Mar '103.53Apr '103.15May '102.79Jun '102.79Jul '102.33Aug '102.37Sep '102.51Oct '102.64Nov '103.18Dec '103.27Jan '113.27Feb '113.38Mar '113.28Apr '112.99May '113.15Jun '112.72Jul '112.21Aug '111.90Sep '112.16Oct '112.07Nov '111.87Dec '111.77Jan '121.90Feb '122.16Mar '121.85Apr '121.52May '121.58Jun '121.40Jul '121.48Aug '121.55Sep '121.61Oct '121.54Nov '121.73Dec '121.95Jan '131.78Feb '131.80Mar '131.65Apr '132.12May '132.48Jun '132.56Jul '132.75Aug '132.62Sep '132.53Oct '132.69Nov '132.97Dec '132.65Jan '142.61Feb '142.68Mar '142.64Apr '142.44May '142.49Jun '142.55Jul '142.32Aug '142.50Sep '142.34Oct '142.16Nov '142.13Dec '141.66Jan '151.98Feb '151.91Mar '152.04Apr '152.11May '152.34Jun '152.12Jul '152.13Aug '152.06Sep '152.08Oct '151.99Nov '152.11Dec '151.61Jan '161.41Feb '161.57Mar '161.61Apr '161.50May '161.23Jun '161.18Jul '161.25Aug '161.31Sep '161.50Oct '161.89Nov '161.94Dec '161.93Jan '171.83Feb '171.64Mar '171.49Apr '171.23May '171.28Jun '171.23Jul '171.11Aug '171.27Sep '171.23Oct '171.15Nov '171.01Dec '171.26Jan '181.22Feb '181.01Mar '181.08Apr '18.90May '18.92Jun '18.93Jul '18.75Aug '18.86Sep '18.81Oct '18.64Nov '18.24Dec '18.22Jan '19.28Feb '19.01Mar '19.08Apr '19-.21May '19-.12Jun '19-.06Jul '19-.49Aug '19-.20Sep '19.15Oct '19.19Nov '19.37Dec '19-.04Jan '20-.14Feb '20.59Mar '20.55Apr '20.51May '20.50Jun '20.46Jul '20.61Aug '20.59Sep '20.79Oct '20.76Nov '20.84Dec '201.05Jan '211.40Feb '211.71Mar '211.64Apr '211.57May '211.40Jun '211.18Jul '211.26Aug '211.48Sep '211.50Oct '211.38Nov '211.46Dec '211.57Jan '221.48Feb '221.80Mar '222.04Apr '221.69May '221.26Jun '22.26Jul '22.19Aug '22.50Sep '22-.12Oct '22-.69Nov '22-.54Dec '22-1.18Jan '23-.96Feb '23-1.37Mar '23-1.66Apr '23-1.88May '23-1.62Jun '23-1.58Jul '23-1.47Aug '23-.96Sep '23-.71Oct '23-1.08Nov '23-1.52Dec '23-1.43Jan '24-1.20Feb '24-1.26Mar '24-.77Apr '24-.95May '24-1.12Jun '24-1.32Jul '24-1.30Aug '24-.92Sep '24-.36Oct '24-.40Nov '24.21Dec '24.27Jan '25-.08Feb '25-.09Mar '25-.14Apr '25.05May '25-.17Jun '25-.04Jul '25.00Aug '25.14Sep '25.22Oct '25.14Nov '250.14

Data represent historical month end values

Frequently Asked Questions

What is it?

  • The spread between the yields of the 10 Year US Treasury Note and the 3 Month US Treasury Bill.

Why is it important?

  • The spread measures the market's outlook for future interest rates.

How do we interpret it?

  • An increase in the yield spread generally indicates that investors expect interest rates to increase. A decrease in the spread usually means the opposite.

Typical historical range

  • As of December 31, 2024, +/- 1 standard deviation* of historical month-end values have ranged from 0.33% to 2.82%.1

12 month trend

'24D'25JFMAMJJASON